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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Ryan Jeffers

Ryan Jeffers

C·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
465
H
93
HR
21
AVG
.226
xwOBA
.308
PPG
2.10
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202637148.293.408.537.244.38915.5%15.5%0.0%711203.24—
2025119466.265
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

465 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
13
.308
xBA
11
.231
.355
.395
.130
.326
19.5%
10.7%
8.8%
9
1
226
1.90
—
2024124465.226.303.432.206.30820.2%6.9%13.3%2132612.10—
2023100337.274.369.486.212.33627.6%9.8%17.8%1431861.86—
202275236.208.285.363.155.32526.3%9.7%16.6%701081.44—
202188294.198.269.399.201.29736.7%7.5%29.2%140971.10—
20202562.273.355.436.163.34830.6%8.1%22.5%30220.88—
xSLG
26
.402
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
10
86.6
Median EV
8
89.4
90th % EV
41
104.3
Barrel %
44
8.3
Hard-Hit %
12
33.8
Sweet-Spot %
17
32.6
Bat Speed
Avg
52
70.3
Median
65
72.6
90th %
79
78.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
13
34.3
Whiff %
51
21.8
K %
55
20.2
BB %
23
6.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
85
≈ 7th pctl
Chase cost
-40.0r
390 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-15.1r
267 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.2%
1,843 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.99
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+17%61+17%654413+10%10+17%23+6%17+48%21+50%12+22%9+22%18-27%41-20%40-25%52-22%50+71%24+36%14+41%29+8%50-29%63-31%74-20%40+69%36+25%12+48%23+44%34+15%48+15%40+45%20+69%133+30%10+13%15+36%14+42%12+17%622CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000