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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Ryan Jeffers

Ryan Jeffers

C·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
466
H
108
HR
9
AVG
.265
xwOBA
.326
PPG
1.90
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202637148.293.408.537.244.38915.5%15.5%0.0%711203.24—
2025119466.265
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

466 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
39
.326
xBA
36
.245
.355
.395
.130
.326
19.5%
10.7%
8.8%
9
1
226
1.90
—
2024124465.226.303.432.206.30820.2%6.9%13.3%2132612.10—
2023100337.274.369.486.212.33627.6%9.8%17.8%1431861.86—
202275236.208.285.363.155.32526.3%9.7%16.6%701081.44—
202188294.198.269.399.201.29736.7%7.5%29.2%140971.10—
20202562.273.355.436.163.34830.6%8.1%22.5%30220.88—
xSLG
23
.401
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
36
89.3
Median EV
29
91.9
90th % EV
51
105.7
Barrel %
19
6.3
Hard-Hit %
33
42.1
Sweet-Spot %
23
34.2
Bat Speed
Avg
47
70.4
Median
47
71.9
90th %
58
77.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
69
24.4
Whiff %
72
19.3
K %
55
19.5
BB %
74
10.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
97
≈ 38th pctl
Chase cost
-29.6r
289 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-20.8r
377 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
39.0%
1,912 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.63
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
354+14%7+17%631+22%9-7%15+6%16+4%23+27%15+50%82+26%23-30%40-49%59-29%58+0%32+39%335+21%28-7%45-49%72-45%76-32%47+19%16+33%6+35%26+26%42+11%36+22%46+27%30+36%115+0%14+33%12+18%17+13%8311CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000