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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #19 of 66

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Ryan Jeffers
Ryan Jeffers · #19
V⁻ -9VORP -249V⁺ 9
Ryan Jeffers

Ryan Jeffers

C·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
148
H
36
HR
7
AVG
.293
xwOBA
.389
PPG
3.24
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj35142.252.340.433.181.34620.0%10.3%9.6%51782.23—
202637148.293
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

148 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
91
.389
xBA
55
.260
.408
.537
.244
.389
15.5%
15.5%
0.0%
7
1
120
3.24
—
2025119466.265.355.395.130.32619.5%10.7%8.8%912261.90—
2024124465.226.303.432.206.30820.2%6.9%13.3%2132612.10—
2023100337.274.369.486.212.33627.6%9.8%17.8%1431861.86—
202275236.208.285.363.155.32526.3%9.7%16.6%701081.44—
202188294.198.269.399.201.29736.7%7.5%29.2%140971.10—
20202562.273.355.436.163.34830.6%8.1%22.5%30220.88—
xSLG
82
.494
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
80
91.2
Median EV
50
92.5
90th % EV
81
107.8
Barrel %
91
15.8
Hard-Hit %
54
43.6
Sweet-Spot %
62
37.6
Bat Speed
Avg
64
71.5
Median
62
73.0
90th %
53
76.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
83
23.3
Whiff %
87
14.4
K %
78
15.5
BB %
94
15.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
106
≈ 73th pctl
Chase cost
-3.9r
43 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.4r
50 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.3%
276 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.27
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
111+0%6+14%71342+29%7-10%10-62%16-19%16-26%19+71%73+6%17+14%14-35%23-44%16-8%13322+27%15+0%9-12%8+45%11422121111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 276