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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Ryan McMahon

Ryan McMahon

3B·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
627
H
133
HR
23
AVG
.240
xwOBA
.336
PPG
1.74
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202656174.211.266.366.155.28931.6%6.9%24.7%73601.07—
2025161588.213
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
47
.336
xBA
20
.241
xSLG
.313
.380
.167
.323
32.1%
11.9%
20.2%
20
3
210
1.30
—
2024158647.241.326.395.154.33228.6%10.7%17.9%2042571.63—
2023155627.240.324.431.191.33631.6%10.8%20.8%2352701.74—
2022155599.245.327.412.167.33426.4%10.0%16.4%2072861.85—
2021159597.253.333.448.195.32924.6%9.9%14.7%2363322.09—
202054193.215.297.419.204.30034.2%9.3%24.9%90781.44—
2019145541.249.328.448.199.32629.6%10.4%19.2%2452811.94—
201898202.232.308.376.144.27831.7%8.9%22.8%51640.65—
20171324.158.333.211.053.26320.8%20.8%0.0%0060.46—
53
.445
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
66
90.5
Median EV
62
93.1
90th % EV
74
106.8
Barrel %
72
11.4
Hard-Hit %
64
44.2
Sweet-Spot %
95
41.4
Bat Speed
Avg
60
70.9
Median
56
71.9
90th %
54
76.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
69
25.2
Whiff %
8
30.1
K %
2
31.6
BB %
76
10.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 69th pctl
Chase cost
-46.4r
443 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-19.6r
381 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.4%
2,796 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.36
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
4+0%10+0%6+8%12+0%1024+18%17+15%26+11%38+0%40+7%30+15%20+0%12+45%29-2%55-34%79-33%64-40%58+28%29+13%16+30%20+21%43-10%49-12%50-5%38+32%28+0%7+77%13+42%24+24%21+50%28+26%19+50%8+0%6234434CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000