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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Ryan McMahon

Ryan McMahon

3B·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
647
H
137
HR
20
AVG
.241
xwOBA
.332
PPG
1.63
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202658184.213.273.361.148.29431.5%7.6%23.9%73581.00—
2025161588.213
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
46
.332
xBA
32
.242
xSLG
.313
.380
.167
.323
32.1%
11.9%
20.2%
20
3
210
1.30
—
2024158647.241.326.395.154.33228.6%10.7%17.9%2042571.63—
2023155627.240.324.431.191.33631.6%10.8%20.8%2352701.74—
2022155599.245.327.412.167.33426.4%10.0%16.4%2072861.85—
2021159597.253.333.448.195.32924.6%9.9%14.7%2363322.09—
202054193.215.297.419.204.30034.2%9.3%24.9%90781.44—
2019145541.249.328.448.199.32629.6%10.4%19.2%2452811.94—
201898202.232.308.376.144.27831.7%8.9%22.8%51640.65—
20171324.158.333.211.053.26320.8%20.8%0.0%0060.46—
44
.426
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
85
92.0
Median EV
90
95.0
90th % EV
78
107.2
Barrel %
65
10.9
Hard-Hit %
89
49.7
Sweet-Spot %
73
37.8
Bat Speed
Avg
57
70.6
Median
62
72.2
90th %
60
77.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
57
26.4
Whiff %
15
27.7
K %
7
28.6
BB %
73
10.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
96
≈ 36th pctl
Chase cost
-52.0r
431 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-20.8r
392 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.0%
2,759 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.64
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
55+9%11+0%18+0%165+0%6+29%14+18%33+0%34-14%29-7%27+8%135+37%27+5%57-30%61-35%65-38%45+19%27+11%9+64%22+22%41-26%62-18%56-28%46+33%27-11%9+31%13+50%14+40%20+35%23+48%21+8%1251+14%7+29%7+17%6+14%731CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000