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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Ryan Mountcastle

Ryan Mountcastle

1B·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
507
H
128
HR
13
AVG
.271
xwOBA
.337
PPG
1.79
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2026815.286.333.357.071.30113.3%6.7%6.6%0050.63—
202591357.250
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

507 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
55
.337
xBA
78
.271
.291
.367
.117
.313
27.5%
4.2%
23.3%
7
3
115
1.26
—
2024130507.271.311.425.154.33722.5%5.3%17.2%1332331.79—
2023123471.269.332.450.181.35722.7%7.9%14.8%1832762.24—
2022154610.250.308.423.173.36425.2%7.0%18.2%2242951.92—
2021150589.253.311.484.231.32827.3%7.0%20.3%3353332.22—
202036140.333.391.492.159.32721.4%7.9%13.5%50792.19—
xSLG
69
.465
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
69
90.8
Median EV
49
92.5
90th % EV
78
107.2
Barrel %
48
8.8
Hard-Hit %
65
45.2
Sweet-Spot %
73
37.5
Bat Speed
Avg
91
73.6
Median
86
74.6
90th %
83
79.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
3
38.0
Whiff %
43
23.1
K %
40
22.5
BB %
9
5.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
93
≈ 23th pctl
Chase cost
-42.0r
415 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-10.9r
204 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
56.2%
1,913 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.77
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
355+14%14113+50%6+39%28+18%33+39%18+61%18+20%10+65%17+27%30-30%56-14%64-9%47+57%23+64%14+55%20+30%46-20%66-18%76-16%62+19%26+30%10+25%20+29%24+34%38+14%35-13%15+14%75+9%11+12%17+14%7+29%7+0%612CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000