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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Ryan Mountcastle

Ryan Mountcastle

1B·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
357
H
83
HR
7
AVG
.250
xwOBA
.313
PPG
1.26
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2026815.286.333.357.071.30113.3%6.7%6.6%0050.63—
202591357.250
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

357 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
20
.313
xBA
52
.256
.291
.367
.117
.313
27.5%
4.2%
23.3%
7
3
115
1.26
—
2024130507.271.311.425.154.33722.5%5.3%17.2%1332331.79—
2023123471.269.332.450.181.35722.7%7.9%14.8%1832762.24—
2022154610.250.308.423.173.36425.2%7.0%18.2%2242951.92—
2021150589.253.311.484.231.32827.3%7.0%20.3%3353332.22—
202036140.333.391.492.159.32721.4%7.9%13.5%50792.19—
xSLG
50
.435
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
61
90.7
Median EV
65
93.8
90th % EV
60
106.3
Barrel %
67
11.7
Hard-Hit %
70
47.1
Sweet-Spot %
89
40.0
Bat Speed
Avg
91
73.5
Median
89
74.7
90th %
90
79.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
5
39.4
Whiff %
11
29.0
K %
8
27.5
BB %
2
4.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
96
≈ 35th pctl
Chase cost
-27.3r
306 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-8.8r
146 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
57.5%
1,353 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.67
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
14+29%7+43%734+33%12+42%24+48%25+38%34+65%174+83%6+17%23-19%53-8%61-15%46+54%35+46%13+46%24+27%48-26%70-13%69-14%58+42%26+58%12+14%14+36%39+28%50-6%32-4%24+29%143+22%9+0%16+38%8+29%74CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000