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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Ryan Noda

Ryan Noda

1B / OF·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
495
H
93
HR
16
AVG
.229
xwOBA
.336
PPG
1.57
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20252460.104.271.167.063.26041.7%18.3%23.4%11-2-0.08—
202440111.137
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

495 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
47
.336
xBA
0
.209
.255
.211
.074
.261
33.3%
12.6%
20.7%
1
1
18
0.45
—
2023134495.229.365.406.177.33634.3%15.6%18.7%1632101.57—
xSLG
22
.396
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
66
90.5
Median EV
55
92.6
90th % EV
73
106.7
Barrel %
83
13.0
Hard-Hit %
66
45.0
Sweet-Spot %
93
39.9
Bat Speed
Avg
41
69.9
Median
59
72.1
90th %
56
76.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
95
19.0
Whiff %
0
35.2
K %
0
34.3
BB %
98
15.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 70th pctl
Chase cost
-26.6r
262 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-23.1r
312 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.0%
2,114 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.35
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
43+14%7+8%134+0%62+17%18+39%23+22%27-5%38+13%40+6%16+0%8+29%17+0%33-25%67-20%79-4%56+21%28+0%14+48%21-17%46-35%57-18%73-33%42+39%31+0%8+0%6+22%18-17%23-11%28+12%17+29%7543541CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000