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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Ryan O'Hearn

Ryan O'Hearn

1B / OF·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
547
H
133
HR
17
AVG
.279
xwOBA
.346
PPG
2.04
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202652206.286.363.467.181.34519.9%9.7%10.2%911332.56—
2025151547.279
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
66
.346
xBA
69
.265
xSLG
.366
.434
.155
.346
19.9%
10.6%
9.3%
17
3
308
2.04
—
2024146494.264.336.427.163.35714.0%9.3%4.7%1533052.09—
2023121369.288.323.478.190.32922.2%4.1%18.1%1452331.93—
202275145.239.292.321.082.33624.1%5.5%18.6%10751.00—
202192255.224.270.367.143.29727.8%5.1%22.7%90991.08—
202042132.195.305.301.106.32728.0%13.6%14.4%20400.95—
2019109370.195.283.369.174.31226.8%10.5%16.3%1401341.23—
201846171.260.351.593.333.34726.3%11.7%14.6%1211202.61—
42
.425
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
37
89.4
Median EV
33
92.2
90th % EV
18
103.1
Barrel %
28
7.6
Hard-Hit %
34
42.3
Sweet-Spot %
85
39.6
Bat Speed
Avg
40
69.9
Median
39
71.4
90th %
35
76.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
48
26.9
Whiff %
61
20.7
K %
51
19.9
BB %
72
10.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
95
≈ 32th pctl
Chase cost
-41.8r
373 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-17.0r
317 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.7%
2,184 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.69
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
5+17%6+14%14+0%7+0%631+23%13+6%16+11%38+5%41+17%23+29%17+0%11+30%20-2%42-24%45-26%81-8%52+62%26+33%12+26%27-30%47-37%41-21%66-26%47+64%28+33%12+8%13+12%26-4%27+19%21+57%14+33%12+11%9+0%62+17%653CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000