Ryne Nelson
SP / RP · ARI
MLBAM 669194
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 86 | 22.1% | 9.3% | 0.337 | 66 | 13.20 |
| 2025 | 619 | 21.3% | 6.6% | 0.309 | 343 | 10.09 |
| 2024 | 630 | 20.0% | 5.4% | 0.319 | 287 | 9.90 |
| 2023 | 619 | 15.5% | 7.4% | 0.351 | 178 | 5.24 |
| 2022 | 69 | 23.2% | 8.7% | 0.248 | 50 | 16.67 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
78
95.4
FB Spin
54
2306
Extension
63
6.61
Results
xwOBA
37
0.337
Barrel %
34
10.3
Hard-Hit %
10
51.7
K %
51
22.1
BB %
41
9.3
Chase %
42
29.1
Whiff %
41
22.1
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
118
≈ 96th pctl
Stuff+
112
if they swing
Command+
97
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
122
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
5.3%
22 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.031
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.012 better than avg · 117 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.040
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.011 worse than avg · 25 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 412 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| FF | SL | CU | FC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 62% | 21% | 12% | 6% |
| MPH | 95.9 | 88.0 | 79.8 | 90.3 |
| RHP Avg | 95.0 | 86.7 | 80.2 | 89.8 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFSLCUFC
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.