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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Sal Frelick

Sal Frelick

OF·MIL
Compare
Compare
PA
524
H
123
HR
2
AVG
.259
xwOBA
.286
PPG
1.73
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202664242.229.308.310.081.29110.3%9.5%0.8%351201.88—
2025151594.288
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
3
.286
xBA
26
.239
xSLG
.354
.405
.117
.302
13.5%
7.9%
5.6%
12
20
357
2.36
—
2024150524.259.320.335.076.28614.9%7.4%7.5%2192591.73—
202364223.246.345.351.105.29816.6%12.6%4.0%381282.00—
0
.300
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
1
82.3
Median EV
0
85.4
90th % EV
4
100.2
Barrel %
0
0.8
Hard-Hit %
0
19.5
Sweet-Spot %
9
31.0
Bat Speed
Avg
3
64.2
Median
4
65.8
90th %
3
71.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
64
25.8
Whiff %
96
11.6
K %
88
14.9
BB %
35
7.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
108
≈ 79th pctl
Chase cost
-26.0r
303 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-20.4r
377 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.4%
2,041 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.27
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+0%6+11%94+0%852+21%14+21%28+14%37+9%33+18%33+21%14+0%8+32%25-9%53-37%78-37%73-16%61+35%26+7%15+53%19-14%43-37%51-31%59-15%61+47%193+39%18+13%15+44%18+4%23+39%18+17%63554+0%6512CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000