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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Sal Frelick

Sal Frelick

OF·MIL
Compare
Compare
PA
594
H
152
HR
12
AVG
.288
xwOBA
.302
PPG
2.36
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202661228.222.300.308.086.29210.5%9.2%1.3%351141.87—
2025151594.288
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
7
.302
xBA
42
.250
xSLG
.354
.405
.117
.302
13.5%
7.9%
5.6%
12
20
357
2.36
—
2024150524.259.320.335.076.28614.9%7.4%7.5%2192591.73—
202364223.246.345.351.105.29816.6%12.6%4.0%381282.00—
1
.336
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
4
84.9
Median EV
2
87.9
90th % EV
2
100.3
Barrel %
5
3.1
Hard-Hit %
3
27.4
Sweet-Spot %
7
31.8
Bat Speed
Avg
4
66.0
Median
7
67.9
90th %
7
73.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
55
26.0
Whiff %
96
10.3
K %
91
13.5
BB %
39
7.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
106
≈ 71th pctl
Chase cost
-32.0r
374 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-21.6r
417 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.9%
2,307 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.33
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
43+0%6+0%6+0%951+19%16+43%21+12%34+19%53+22%23+33%18+0%13+35%23-11%47-37%75-42%73-17%48+53%19+8%12+25%16+0%63-34%58-25%56-8%49+52%25+8%13+7%15+25%24+0%24+29%21+29%14+30%10125+17%6+0%631CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000