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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #13 of 66

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Samuel Basallo
Samuel Basallo · #13
V⁻ -13VORP -165V⁺ 41
Samuel Basallo

Samuel Basallo

C·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
197
H
47
HR
9
AVG
.266
xwOBA
.361
PPG
1.86
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj75313.248.312.451.203.33624.3%8.0%16.3%1411622.16—
202656197.266
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

197 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
68
.361
xBA
73
.274
.333
.480
.214
.361
25.4%
9.1%
16.3%
9
0
104
1.86
—
202531118.165.229.330.165.28625.4%5.1%20.3%40401.29—
xSLG
82
.497
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
88
92.4
Median EV
61
93.4
90th % EV
86
108.2
Barrel %
74
12.4
Hard-Hit %
80
48.1
Sweet-Spot %
49
36.4
Bat Speed
Avg
83
73.3
Median
83
74.8
90th %
82
79.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
7
38.8
Whiff %
18
28.5
K %
21
25.4
BB %
45
9.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
99
≈ 48th pctl
Chase cost
-5.0r
59 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.8r
28 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.2%
266 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.55
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
32+17%61211+45%11-8%12+7%14+44%922+33%6+47%15-10%21-33%15-33%6+75%82+0%6+15%13-33%12-8%13-21%143433+36%11+0%6232112CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 266