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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Sean Murphy

Sean Murphy

C·ATL
Compare
Compare
PA
438
H
93
HR
21
AVG
.251
xwOBA
.393
PPG
2.58
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2026414.071.071.071.000.13342.9%0.0%42.9%00-4-1.00—
202593337.199
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

438 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
91
.393
xBA
73
.267
.302
.409
.210
.316
31.2%
10.4%
20.8%
16
0
136
1.46
—
202476264.193.285.352.159.31125.4%10.2%15.2%1001121.47—
2023113438.251.366.478.227.39322.4%11.2%11.2%2102912.58—
2022158613.249.334.426.177.34820.2%9.1%11.1%1813402.15—
2021124448.216.308.405.189.33825.4%8.9%16.5%1702261.82—
202050140.233.364.457.224.34826.4%17.1%9.3%70921.84—
20192060.245.333.566.321.34426.7%10.0%16.7%40432.15—
xSLG
93
.540
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
80
91.5
Median EV
72
93.8
90th % EV
89
108.3
Barrel %
94
16.1
Hard-Hit %
67
45.8
Sweet-Spot %
91
39.6
Bat Speed
Avg
78
72.3
Median
79
74.1
90th %
89
79.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
83
22.9
Whiff %
39
23.8
K %
37
22.4
BB %
81
11.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
115
≈ 93th pctl
Chase cost
-22.5r
256 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.0r
229 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.8%
1,772 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.00
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
44+10%10+0%75+0%63+0%10+22%18-4%28+17%30+29%21+13%16+25%8+17%24-17%29-31%59-22%60-15%54+62%212+27%30-2%46-28%72-18%67-14%42+57%21+0%8+17%23+32%34+15%41+16%31+27%22+33%63+0%11+20%10+20%15421CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000