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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Sean Murphy

Sean Murphy

C·ATL
Compare
Compare
PA
337
H
58
HR
16
AVG
.199
xwOBA
.316
PPG
1.46
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2026414.071.071.071.000.13342.9%0.0%42.9%00-4-1.00—
202593337.199
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

337 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
26
.316
xBA
0
.207
.302
.409
.210
.316
31.2%
10.4%
20.8%
16
0
136
1.46
—
202476264.193.285.352.159.31125.4%10.2%15.2%1001121.47—
2023113438.251.366.478.227.39322.4%11.2%11.2%2102912.58—
2022158613.249.334.426.177.34820.2%9.1%11.1%1813402.15—
2021124448.216.308.405.189.33825.4%8.9%16.5%1702261.82—
202050140.233.364.457.224.34826.4%17.1%9.3%70921.84—
20192060.245.333.566.321.34426.7%10.0%16.7%40432.15—
xSLG
34
.417
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
32
89.1
Median EV
36
92.4
90th % EV
72
107.1
Barrel %
77
13.2
Hard-Hit %
39
42.9
Sweet-Spot %
3
30.7
Bat Speed
Avg
42
70.1
Median
58
72.5
90th %
55
77.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
57
25.9
Whiff %
9
29.4
K %
3
31.2
BB %
71
10.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
100
≈ 49th pctl
Chase cost
-21.4r
230 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-12.9r
204 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.9%
1,355 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.53
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+17%63+7%14432+8%13+38%21+8%26+7%30+52%25+11%9+17%6+25%28-11%38-46%68-21%62-2%50+65%23+38%8+33%18-10%49-34%64-10%67-13%53+48%21+22%9+30%20+52%29+20%45+24%25+12%17+40%104+0%6+33%12+33%65+22%941CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000