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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Seiya Suzuki

Seiya Suzuki

OF·CHC
Compare
Compare
PA
587
H
147
HR
20
AVG
.283
xwOBA
.360
PPG
2.45
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202653217.253.343.421.168.33625.3%10.6%14.7%901041.96—
2025162642.249
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
75
.360
xBA
82
.276
xSLG
.333
.485
.236
.356
24.9%
10.9%
14.0%
32
5
398
2.46
—
2024135585.283.368.482.199.35127.4%10.8%16.6%21163412.53—
2023137587.283.359.482.199.36022.1%10.1%12.0%2063362.45—
2022117446.262.339.433.171.33124.7%9.4%15.3%1492331.99—
69
.471
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
79
91.4
Median EV
74
94.2
90th % EV
68
106.3
Barrel %
63
10.5
Hard-Hit %
76
48.0
Sweet-Spot %
78
38.3
Bat Speed
Avg
53
70.6
Median
62
72.4
90th %
58
77.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
92
19.8
Whiff %
66
19.3
K %
40
22.1
BB %
64
10.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
113
≈ 90th pctl
Chase cost
-28.6r
310 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-21.9r
430 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
40.9%
2,445 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.07
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
34+13%84+0%811+29%7+36%11-10%20+9%32-17%18+21%144+5%20-5%40-32%62-30%63-29%38+15%26+0%13+35%26-16%63-32%68-24%76-15%54+31%135+14%22+37%46+24%49+12%26-18%17+29%72+20%10+25%8+8%13+0%1534CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000