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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Seiya Suzuki

Seiya Suzuki

OF·CHC
Compare
Compare
PA
585
H
145
HR
21
AVG
.283
xwOBA
.351
PPG
2.53
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202656233.257.341.437.180.33526.2%9.9%16.3%1001142.04—
2025162642.249
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
77
.351
xBA
52
.251
xSLG
.333
.485
.236
.356
24.9%
10.9%
14.0%
32
5
398
2.46
—
2024135585.283.368.482.199.35127.4%10.8%16.6%21163412.53—
2023137587.283.359.482.199.36022.1%10.1%12.0%2063362.45—
2022117446.262.339.433.171.33124.7%9.4%15.3%1492331.99—
67
.463
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
81
91.7
Median EV
85
94.7
90th % EV
73
106.8
Barrel %
69
11.5
Hard-Hit %
85
49.2
Sweet-Spot %
87
39.9
Bat Speed
Avg
58
70.7
Median
65
72.6
90th %
65
77.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
95
20.7
Whiff %
48
22.3
K %
12
27.4
BB %
77
10.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
111
≈ 86th pctl
Chase cost
-31.9r
312 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-22.8r
424 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
39.6%
2,509 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.18
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
14+0%75242-22%9+8%12+0%16+13%24+33%9+0%6+23%13-32%25-28%58-24%49-28%43+21%19+0%10+22%32-10%52-34%71-31%67-21%53+23%30+0%7+24%29+34%38+7%54+11%46+4%28+17%12+0%7+7%15+8%13+8%13+0%9+0%1144CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000