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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Seiya Suzuki

Seiya Suzuki

OF·CHC
Compare
Compare
PA
642
H
140
HR
32
AVG
.249
xwOBA
.356
PPG
2.46
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202653217.253.343.421.168.33625.3%10.6%14.7%901041.96—
2025162642.249
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
74
.356
xBA
42
.250
xSLG
.333
.485
.236
.356
24.9%
10.9%
14.0%
32
5
398
2.46
—
2024135585.283.368.482.199.35127.4%10.8%16.6%21163412.53—
2023137587.283.359.482.199.36022.1%10.1%12.0%2063362.45—
2022117446.262.339.433.171.33124.7%9.4%15.3%1492331.99—
86
.502
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
78
91.5
Median EV
80
94.7
90th % EV
69
107.0
Barrel %
91
16.8
Hard-Hit %
81
49.1
Sweet-Spot %
96
42.1
Bat Speed
Avg
60
71.2
Median
66
73.1
90th %
66
78.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
93
20.2
Whiff %
50
22.1
K %
26
24.9
BB %
74
10.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
109
≈ 80th pctl
Chase cost
-31.9r
343 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-27.8r
506 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
40.6%
2,697 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.21
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3412441+9%11+9%11-33%27+4%27+50%18+10%10+0%7+20%20+3%38-45%55-34%44-15%52+28%25+0%11+36%28-9%57-40%77-32%77-31%42+30%20+0%6+18%28+29%35+9%35-21%29+5%22+13%84+14%7+30%10+8%13+0%7423CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000