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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Rank #47 of 165

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

0+50+100+150Shane Bieber
Shane Bieber · #47
V⁻ —VORP 17V⁺ —
Shane Bieber

Shane Bieber

SP·TOR
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj231487.054003.773.6022.0%6.0%16.0%————1687.31
2025121159.063003.664.3723.3%4.4%18.9%.328.27282.1%49.1%13110.92
20243318.0300
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

No MLB Statcast pitching rows for 2026.

0
0.00
0.43
44.4%
2.2%
42.2%
.264
.333
100.0%
50.0%
82
27.33
20232222134.776003.683.5520.0%6.4%13.6%.340.29474.5%47.5%26011.82
20223535218.01410003.063.0625.0%4.5%20.5%.294.28476.0%48.8%52214.91
20211818106.394002.962.7733.1%8.1%25.0%.300.33180.6%44.9%29516.39
2020131382.082002.302.2641.1%7.1%34.0%.251.28885.8%48.4%28521.92
20193634220.3159013.313.1530.1%4.6%25.5%.296.30076.8%44.8%58016.11
20182019114.7115004.553.1724.3%4.7%19.6%.315.35669.4%46.5%22311.15