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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
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    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
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    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
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    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
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    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
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    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Rank #30 of 164

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

0+50+100+150Shane McClanahan
Shane McClanahan · #30
V⁻ —VORP 45V⁺ —
Shane McClanahan

Shane McClanahan

SP·TBR
Compare
Compare
BF
247
K %
23.9%
BB %
8.5%
xwOBA
.302
PTS
150
PPG
12.50
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj181898.084003.563.4725.2%8.0%17.2%————22312.39
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

Arsenal
FB Velo
77
95.3
FB Spin
32
2202
Extension
2026
12
12
60.0
6
3
0
0
2.85
2.93
23.9%
8.5%
15.4%
.302
.259
73.7%
47.6%
150
12.50
20232121115.0112003.293.7625.7%8.7%17.0%.313.27481.7%44.6%29113.86
20223232180.31210002.743.1230.2%5.8%24.4%.264.26680.9%50.6%47514.84
20212726129.0116003.633.3127.2%7.1%20.1%.327.33277.9%47.2%28410.52
72
6.67
Results
xwOBA
75
.302
Barrel %
36
9.1
Hard-Hit %
58
39.0
K %
63
23.9
BB %
41
8.5
Chase %
64
32.0
Whiff %
69
24.6
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
81
≈ 3th pctl
Stuff+
107
if they swing
Command+
76
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
95
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
8.6%
26 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.050
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.008 worse than avg · 63 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.068
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.038 worse than avg · 36 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 303 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF
36.4%94.82213+15.7+9.16.819.4%51.2%26.2%19.5%11.1%0.440
SliderSL
27.7%87.3

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE38°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFSLCHCU
Usage36%28%26%10%
MPH94.887.386.581.2
LHP Avg93.284.784.679.0
2374
+1.3
-2.8
6.80
21.9%
45.3%
21.9%
34.3%
29.4%
0.348
ChangeupCH
25.5%86.51445+2.4+15.86.7848.0%42.4%37.3%29.4%30.4%0.187
CurveballCU
10.4%81.22546-10.2-4.66.8633.3%37.5%29.2%0.0%0.0%0.244

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 19″SL · 24″CH · 23″CU · 24″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 26″SL · 41″CH · 46″CU · 57″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.31′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). LHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFSLCHCU-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFSLCHCU-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFSLCHCU

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.