Shane Smith

SP · CHW

MLBAM 681343

Seasons

Yr	BF	K%	BB%	xwOBA	Pts	PPG
2026	49	22.4%	18.4%	0.340	-18	-4.50
2025	616	23.5%	9.4%	0.311	281	9.37

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Season

49 BF this season — below qualified-pitcher cutoff. Bars ranked against qualified peers (faded to flag small sample).

Arsenal

FB Velocity

95.6

FB Spin

2200

Extension

6.79

Results

xwOBA

0.340

Barrel %

0.0

Hard-Hit %

33.3

K %

22.4

BB %

18.4

Chase %

30.4

Whiff %

24.0

Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+

≈ 4th pctl

Stuff+

112

if they swing

Command+

out-of-zone take RV

Strike quality+

RV of in-zone pitches

Crushable pitches

11.1%

33 meatballs

Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)

0.050

RV per pitch · league 0.042

+0.008 worse than avg · 94 pitches

Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.

Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)

0.039

RV per pitch · league 0.029

+0.010 worse than avg · 30 pitches

How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.

Based on 298 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.

	FF	CU	CH	SI	SL

Usage	33%	24%	18%	14%	11%
MPH	95.3	82.4	90.3	96.4	90.5
RHP Avg	95.0	80.2	86.9	94.3	86.7

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision

23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival

At the Plate

Where they actually cross

FFCUCHSISL

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.