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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Shohei Ohtani

Shohei Ohtani

SP·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
731
H
197
HR
54
AVG
.310
xwOBA
.452
PPG
3.94
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202667298.305.425.543.238.42822.5%15.4%7.1%1362103.13—
2025179717.280
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
98
.452
xBA
97
.308
xSLG
.391
.619
.339
.435
25.9%
14.9%
11.0%
54
21
644
3.60
—
2024179731.310.393.646.336.45222.2%11.1%11.1%54597063.94—
2023139599.304.415.654.350.44723.9%15.2%8.7%44204993.59—
2022170666.273.357.519.246.39624.2%10.8%13.4%34114492.64—
2021164640.257.373.591.334.42429.5%15.0%14.5%46274682.85—
202047175.190.291.366.176.33128.6%12.6%16.0%77791.68—
2019106425.286.346.505.219.35325.9%7.8%18.1%18122442.30—
2018116366.285.362.564.279.38627.9%10.1%17.8%22102522.17—
98
.670
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
98
95.7
Median EV
98
98.1
90th % EV
98
111.9
Barrel %
98
21.5
Hard-Hit %
98
60.1
Sweet-Spot %
82
39.5
Bat Speed
Avg
95
74.7
Median
97
76.1
90th %
94
81.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
55
26.6
Whiff %
26
26.4
K %
40
22.2
BB %
82
11.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
101
≈ 52th pctl
Chase cost
-53.1r
533 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.9r
331 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.3%
2,868 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.51
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
4+38%13+25%12+14%7+27%11+0%61+18%17+25%28+9%35-3%39+26%23+0%65+23%26+2%55-26%76-24%54-16%45+44%32+17%12+34%29-4%46-24%55-12%49-11%37+58%24+29%14+17%12+43%21+36%22+45%22+64%14+45%11+13%814+11%9+50%8+25%832CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000