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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Shohei Ohtani

Shohei Ohtani

SP·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
717
H
169
HR
54
AVG
.280
xwOBA
.435
PPG
3.60
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202665284.302.421.522.220.42022.5%15.1%7.4%1161953.00—
2025179717.280
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
98
.435
xBA
77
.270
xSLG
.391
.619
.339
.435
25.9%
14.9%
11.0%
54
21
644
3.60
—
2024179731.310.393.646.336.45222.2%11.1%11.1%54597063.94—
2023139599.304.415.654.350.44723.9%15.2%8.7%44204993.59—
2022170666.273.357.519.246.39624.2%10.8%13.4%34114492.64—
2021164640.257.373.591.334.42429.5%15.0%14.5%46274682.85—
202047175.190.291.366.176.33128.6%12.6%16.0%77791.68—
2019106425.286.346.505.219.35325.9%7.8%18.1%18122442.30—
2018116366.285.362.564.279.38627.9%10.1%17.8%22102522.17—
99
.645
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
98
94.8
Median EV
99
99.2
90th % EV
96
110.1
Barrel %
99
23.6
Hard-Hit %
99
58.5
Sweet-Spot %
55
36.5
Bat Speed
Avg
93
74.1
Median
93
75.7
90th %
93
80.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
55
26.0
Whiff %
2
31.4
K %
20
25.9
BB %
95
14.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
96
≈ 36th pctl
Chase cost
-54.1r
499 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-22.8r
374 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.7%
2,890 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.66
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
5+15%13+29%14+20%15+0%1135+21%19+11%28+3%30+3%30+22%27+30%23+0%11+32%28-17%48-47%60-33%51-19%57+35%34+27%11+35%20-3%36-23%48-33%45-2%42+52%23+31%13+31%13+43%21+28%25+48%25+38%21+27%11+14%75+17%63552CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000