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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
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    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
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    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Rank #55 of 164

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

0+50+100+150Shota Imanaga
Shota Imanaga · #55
V⁻ —VORP 9V⁺ —
Shota Imanaga

Shota Imanaga

SP·CHC
Compare
Compare
BF
308
K %
24.0%
BB %
6.2%
xwOBA
.309
PTS
128
PPG
9.85
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj1919102.066004.064.1122.3%5.5%16.8%————19010.00
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

Arsenal
FB Velo
22
91.6
FB Spin
93
2500
Extension
2026
13
13
76.0
4
6
0
0
4.86
4.93
24.0%
6.2%
17.8%
.309
.236
71.9%
39.2%
128
9.85
20252726151.399003.934.9720.9%4.0%16.9%.313.22180.8%30.3%29210.81
20243130177.3154002.993.5825.1%4.0%21.1%.289.27378.7%37.2%46414.97
26
6.24
Results
xwOBA
66
.309
Barrel %
12
11.3
Hard-Hit %
39
41.5
K %
64
24.0
BB %
83
6.2
Chase %
96
36.4
Whiff %
92
28.3
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
117
≈ 95th pctl
Stuff+
114
if they swing
Command+
115
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
114
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
6.6%
30 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.023
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.020 better than avg · 166 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.014
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.015 better than avg · 20 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 452 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF
43.1%92.12522+18.8+11.66.2316.7%56.9%28.1%36.2%20.7%0.331
Split-FingerFS
34.8%83.6

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE40°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFFSSTSICUSL
Usage43%35%14%5%2%0%
MPH92.183.682.490.474.382.9
LHP Avg93.2—81.093.079.084.7
1078
+6.2
+11.6
6.39
41.8%
31.8%
30.2%
50.0%
25.4%
0.196
SweeperST
14.3%82.42559+0.3-12.16.2344.4%28.3%30.2%39.5%16.7%0.113
SinkerSI
5.1%90.42420+9.1+17.36.2930.0%52.6%31.6%33.3%—0.342
CurveballCU
2.4%74.32471-14.7-8.46.210.0%88.9%44.4%0.0%—0.717
SliderSL
0.3%82.92639+7.7-2.66.200.0%100.0%0.0%———

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 15″SI · 19″FS · 20″ST · 23″SL · 23″CU · 22″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 33″SI · 37″FS · 53″ST · 59″SL · 55″CU · 77″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.09′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). LHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFFSSTSICUSL-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFFSSTSICUSL-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFFSSTSICUSL

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.