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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Spencer Steer

Spencer Steer

1B / OF·CIN
Compare
Compare
PA
568
H
121
HR
21
AVG
.238
xwOBA
.295
PPG
1.99
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202664249.265.348.443.178.37120.5%10.0%10.5%931372.14—
2025145568.238
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
4
.295
xBA
2
.218
xSLG
.313
.411
.173
.295
22.7%
9.0%
13.7%
21
7
289
1.99
—
2024162658.224.319.401.177.32520.8%10.9%9.9%20253902.41—
2023161667.271.357.462.191.33220.8%10.2%10.6%23163962.46—
202231108.211.306.326.115.27924.1%10.2%13.9%20361.16—
5
.361
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
10
86.8
Median EV
12
89.9
90th % EV
12
102.0
Barrel %
28
7.6
Hard-Hit %
12
33.2
Sweet-Spot %
46
35.8
Bat Speed
Avg
28
69.1
Median
26
70.4
90th %
16
74.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
67
24.7
Whiff %
38
23.5
K %
37
22.7
BB %
53
9.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
110
≈ 84th pctl
Chase cost
-33.6r
338 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.8r
346 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.9%
2,323 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.17
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
21534+33%6+42%12+9%23+19%31+44%18+22%9+0%8+65%17-2%43-23%48-17%59-3%61+22%23+0%12+62%26+11%36-35%78-32%81-19%58+26%27+9%11+7%15+23%30+33%43-21%34+10%20+0%755+7%14+0%11+8%12+0%732CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000