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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Spencer Torkelson

Spencer Torkelson

1B·DET
Compare
Compare
PA
686
H
141
HR
31
AVG
.232
xwOBA
.349
PPG
2.18
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202666251.212.313.401.189.31731.9%11.2%20.7%90881.33—
2025166649.240
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
67
.349
xBA
25
.243
xSLG
.335
.456
.216
.338
26.0%
11.1%
14.9%
31
2
355
2.14
—
2024104383.218.294.372.154.28827.4%8.6%18.8%1001471.41—
2023164686.232.314.444.212.34924.9%9.8%15.1%3133572.18—
2022123404.203.286.319.116.30724.5%9.2%15.3%811461.19—
75
.484
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
84
91.8
Median EV
90
95.3
90th % EV
64
106.2
Barrel %
86
14.1
Hard-Hit %
90
50.7
Sweet-Spot %
28
34.1
Bat Speed
Avg
87
73.8
Median
84
74.6
90th %
73
78.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
77
23.6
Whiff %
46
22.4
K %
19
24.9
BB %
59
9.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
106
≈ 74th pctl
Chase cost
-43.9r
410 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-21.7r
394 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.2%
2,849 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.30
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
2135511+17%6+19%16+40%15+23%31+12%17+9%115+25%16-6%36-24%71-21%56-23%35+29%17+27%11+32%19+17%59-39%72-27%66+0%49+43%21+0%8+23%26+24%34+8%51+7%27+21%19+25%12+11%9+21%14+21%14+40%15+33%6+10%1011CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000