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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Spencer Torkelson

Spencer Torkelson

1B·DET
Compare
Compare
PA
649
H
135
HR
31
AVG
.240
xwOBA
.338
PPG
2.14
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202666251.212.313.401.189.31731.9%11.2%20.7%90881.33—
2025166649.240
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
58
.338
xBA
8
.228
xSLG
.335
.456
.216
.338
26.0%
11.1%
14.9%
31
2
355
2.14
—
2024104383.218.294.372.154.28827.4%8.6%18.8%1001471.41—
2023164686.232.314.444.212.34924.9%9.8%15.1%3133572.18—
2022123404.203.286.319.116.30724.5%9.2%15.3%811461.19—
61
.458
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
53
90.2
Median EV
50
93.2
90th % EV
35
104.5
Barrel %
77
13.5
Hard-Hit %
51
45.1
Sweet-Spot %
92
40.9
Bat Speed
Avg
67
71.6
Median
62
72.7
90th %
47
76.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
80
22.4
Whiff %
36
23.8
K %
19
26.0
BB %
76
11.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
109
≈ 82th pctl
Chase cost
-35.3r
334 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-23.7r
414 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.6%
2,693 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.19
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
11+14%7+0%6541+29%7+0%7+11%18+29%28+4%25+33%123+26%19-11%27-18%49-29%45-30%54+9%23+0%9+31%26+21%48-39%72-32%75-32%38+29%21+0%10+23%26+34%44+24%54+5%44+3%35-8%135+11%19+20%10+17%12+0%13+0%741CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000