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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Starling Marte

Starling Marte

OF·KCR
Compare
Compare
PA
370
H
90
HR
7
AVG
.269
xwOBA
.344
PPG
1.95
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20262879.254.321.338.084.31929.1%6.3%22.8%10180.64—
202599329.270
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

370 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
66
.344
xBA
86
.279
.340
.410
.140
.319
20.7%
6.7%
14.0%
9
7
163
1.65
—
2024109370.269.329.388.119.34421.9%7.3%14.6%7182131.95—
202389341.248.301.324.076.31620.2%4.7%15.5%5251591.79—
2022126505.292.347.468.176.33719.2%5.1%14.1%16233412.71—
2021125528.309.383.456.147.35018.8%8.1%10.7%12483783.02—
202064250.281.341.430.149.32716.4%4.8%11.6%6111582.47—
2019132588.294.344.501.207.36216.0%4.3%11.7%23254223.20—
2018150608.276.328.458.182.33717.9%5.8%12.1%20353802.53—
201783340.274.334.377.103.32218.5%5.9%12.6%7211882.27—
xSLG
49
.429
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
22
87.9
Median EV
47
92.3
90th % EV
60
105.5
Barrel %
29
6.9
Hard-Hit %
56
42.9
Sweet-Spot %
73
37.8
Bat Speed
Avg
52
70.2
Median
63
72.3
90th %
58
77.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
33
30.0
Whiff %
32
25.4
K %
43
21.9
BB %
34
7.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 62th pctl
Chase cost
-23.9r
275 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-11.6r
204 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.3%
1,460 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.43
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
4+0%7+17%6+17%653+43%7+39%18+12%17+17%30+24%25+17%123+31%16-5%44-25%56-19%63-16%37+39%18+0%16+41%22+17%66-27%55-32%63-25%36+44%25+17%6+47%17+55%38+10%41+5%37+11%19+31%135+25%16+8%12+25%12+36%11+0%63CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000