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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Steven Kwan

Steven Kwan

OF·CLE
Compare
Compare
PA
698
H
170
HR
11
AVG
.270
xwOBA
.312
PPG
2.50
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202661260.216.329.266.050.30310.0%13.5%-3.5%131141.87—
2025163698.270
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
18
.312
xBA
79
.271
xSLG
.331
.371
.101
.312
8.6%
7.9%
0.7%
11
22
407
2.50
—
2024138543.290.366.422.132.3389.4%9.8%-0.4%14144032.92—
2023164718.268.343.370.102.32010.4%9.7%0.7%5214122.51—
2022169638.298.375.400.102.3179.4%9.7%-0.3%6214392.60—
7
.363
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
4
84.9
Median EV
2
87.9
90th % EV
1
98.0
Barrel %
1
1.9
Hard-Hit %
1
19.3
Sweet-Spot %
94
41.2
Bat Speed
Avg
1
61.7
Median
1
63.1
90th %
1
69.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
77
22.7
Whiff %
99
7.9
K %
97
8.6
BB %
39
7.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
114
≈ 92th pctl
Chase cost
-35.5r
368 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-21.5r
501 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.9%
2,826 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.02
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
4+33%6+14%7+5%20+0%15+0%62+37%19+19%21-6%35+13%47+11%28+25%20+0%6+44%18-2%52-48%84-27%93-27%62+35%34+0%12+29%21-16%32-20%61-37%72-4%51+42%19+17%6+43%7+17%12-11%19+16%19+0%653322322CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000