Steven Matz

Steven Matz

RP · TBR
MLBAM 571927
Seasons
YrBFK%BB%xwOBAPtsPPG
20268524.7%7.1%0.3337915.80
202530919.1%3.6%0.2902093.80
202419017.4%7.9%0.336574.07
202344921.8%7.1%0.3061867.15
202220726.1%4.8%0.3031136.65
202164722.3%6.6%0.31032810.58
202014325.2%7.0%0.397-15-1.67
201969222.1%7.5%0.3312989.03
201865423.2%8.9%0.3032698.68
201729816.1%6.4%0.349251.79

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Arsenal
FB Velocity
39
93.1
FB Spin
37
2227
Extension
50
6.53
Results
xwOBA
42
0.333
Barrel %
28
10.5
Hard-Hit %
40
42.1
K %
66
24.7
BB %
69
7.1
Chase %
34
27.8
Whiff %
64
24.5
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
115
94th pctl
Stuff+
98
if they swing
Command+
110
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
102
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
9.7%
40 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.030
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.012 better than avg · 123 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
-0.005
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.035 better than avg · 26 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 411 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3BMORERISEMOREDROPARMANGLE34°100 PITCHSAMPLE
SICHCUSL
Usage46%31%12%11%
MPH93.182.878.182.9
LHP Avg93.084.679.084.7

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
SICHCUSL-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
SICHCUSL-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
SICHCUSL

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

0.511.522.53DECISIONPOINTSI · 21CU · 28SL · 32CH · 33arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. LHP.