
Steven Matz
RP · TBR
MLBAM 571927
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 85 | 24.7% | 7.1% | 0.333 | 79 | 15.80 |
| 2025 | 309 | 19.1% | 3.6% | 0.290 | 209 | 3.80 |
| 2024 | 190 | 17.4% | 7.9% | 0.336 | 57 | 4.07 |
| 2023 | 449 | 21.8% | 7.1% | 0.306 | 186 | 7.15 |
| 2022 | 207 | 26.1% | 4.8% | 0.303 | 113 | 6.65 |
| 2021 | 647 | 22.3% | 6.6% | 0.310 | 328 | 10.58 |
| 2020 | 143 | 25.2% | 7.0% | 0.397 | -15 | -1.67 |
| 2019 | 692 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 0.331 | 298 | 9.03 |
| 2018 | 654 | 23.2% | 8.9% | 0.303 | 269 | 8.68 |
| 2017 | 298 | 16.1% | 6.4% | 0.349 | 25 | 1.79 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
39
93.1
FB Spin
37
2227
Extension
50
6.53
Results
xwOBA
42
0.333
Barrel %
28
10.5
Hard-Hit %
40
42.1
K %
66
24.7
BB %
69
7.1
Chase %
34
27.8
Whiff %
64
24.5
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
115
≈ 94th pctl
Stuff+
98
if they swing
Command+
110
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
102
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
9.7%
40 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.030
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.012 better than avg · 123 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
-0.005
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.035 better than avg · 26 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 411 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| SI | CH | CU | SL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 46% | 31% | 12% | 11% |
| MPH | 93.1 | 82.8 | 78.1 | 82.9 |
| LHP Avg | 93.0 | 84.6 | 79.0 | 84.7 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
SICHCUSL
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. LHP.