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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Rank #98 of 165

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

0+50+100+150Taj Bradley
Taj Bradley · #60
V⁻ —VORP -20V⁺ —
Taj Bradley

Taj Bradley

SP·MIN
Compare
Compare
BF
284
K %
25.7%
BB %
10.2%
xwOBA
.328
PTS
130
PPG
10.83
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj181893.055004.083.8723.7%8.5%15.1%————1699.40
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

Arsenal
FB Velo
62
94.4
FB Spin
42
2247
Extension
2026
12
12
65.0
5
3
0
0
4.02
4.08
25.7%
10.2%
15.5%
.328
.304
79.3%
33.3%
130
10.83
20252828148.069005.054.2621.0%9.3%11.7%.315.28862.7%43.3%1967.00
20242525138.0811004.114.0326.6%8.1%18.5%.319.28473.7%42.1%25810.32
20232321104.758005.594.6428.0%8.5%19.5%.323.31067.7%36.4%1536.65
45
6.45
Results
xwOBA
42
.328
Barrel %
17
10.6
Hard-Hit %
6
47.2
K %
81
25.7
BB %
17
10.2
Chase %
29
28.4
Whiff %
71
24.5
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
112
≈ 89th pctl
Stuff+
113
if they swing
Command+
98
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
118
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
8.8%
41 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.032
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.010 better than avg · 156 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.016
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.013 better than avg · 40 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 465 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF
47.5%96.72293+19.2+4.46.468.2%57.6%23.6%28.4%18.4%0.359
Split-FingerFS
21.4%90.7

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE58°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFFSFCCU
Usage48%21%20%11%
MPH96.790.788.681.4
RHP Avg95.086.789.880.2
1639
+6.4
+10.5
6.48
45.0%
47.7%
34.9%
26.7%
25.8%
0.152
CutterFC
20.4%88.62133+3.4-5.26.4337.1%37.8%29.3%33.3%26.1%0.252
CurveballCU
10.7%81.42312-15.5-3.96.3741.2%25.6%23.3%28.1%18.2%0.300

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 18″FS · 21″FC · 23″CU · 26″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 20″FS · 33″FC · 36″CU · 59″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.31′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFFSFCCU-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFFSFCCU-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFFSFCCU

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.