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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
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    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
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    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Rank #100 of 164

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

0+50+100+150Tanner Bibee
Tanner Bibee · #60
V⁻ —VORP -22V⁺ —
Tanner Bibee

Tanner Bibee

SP·CLE
Compare
Compare
BF
317
K %
19.9%
BB %
7.6%
xwOBA
.335
PTS
99
PPG
7.07
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj1919111.077004.003.9322.1%7.3%14.8%————20010.52
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

Arsenal
FB Velo
12
91.0
FB Spin
69
2338
Extension
2026
14
14
77.0
1
7
0
0
4.09
4.63
19.9%
7.6%
12.3%
.335
.269
78.4%
38.4%
99
7.07
20253333192.31311004.214.3221.2%7.1%14.1%.298.28472.9%45.3%35110.64
20243636195.3139003.363.4926.2%6.2%20.0%.305.29078.0%35.2%44812.44
20232525142.0104002.983.3624.1%7.7%16.4%.298.28680.0%37.3%33613.44
66
6.62
Results
xwOBA
30
.335
Barrel %
30
9.6
Hard-Hit %
11
45.4
K %
37
19.9
BB %
58
7.6
Chase %
8
25.7
Whiff %
71
24.7
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
110
≈ 85th pctl
Stuff+
102
if they swing
Command+
106
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
106
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
7.8%
39 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.040
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.002 better than avg · 151 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
-0.001
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.031 better than avg · 25 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 497 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
CutterFC
28.0%86.32649+4.1-6.26.6334.4%44.2%30.8%35.8%14.6%0.443
4-Seam FastballFF
27.8%94.2

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE59°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FCFFCHSICUST
Usage28%28%18%13%12%2%
MPH86.394.281.194.078.280.7
RHP Avg89.895.086.994.380.283.3
2170
+16.4
+6.0
6.70
10.2%
57.1%
28.6%
17.6%
5.9%
0.432
ChangeupCH
18.0%81.11912+14.8+12.36.6641.2%51.9%35.1%18.9%27.3%0.166
SinkerSI
12.6%94.02164+11.8+13.96.7023.1%50.0%22.2%18.5%36.4%0.400
CurveballCU
11.7%78.22590-7.4-15.56.6425.0%40.0%24.0%33.3%20.0%0.101
SweeperST
1.9%80.72631-1.9-15.66.7040.0%50.0%25.0%25.0%0.0%0.396

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 20″CH · 20″SI · 22″FC · 25″ST · 27″CU · 26″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 28″CH · 59″SI · 29″FC · 48″ST · 55″CU · 68″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.55′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FCFFCHSICUST-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FCFFCHSICUST-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FCFFCHSICUST

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.