Tarik Skubal
SP · DET
MLBAM 669373
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 95 | 24.2% | 4.2% | 0.313 | 91 | 15.17 |
| 2025 | 750 | 32.1% | 4.4% | 0.258 | 703 | 19.53 |
| 2024 | 754 | 30.2% | 4.6% | 0.258 | 664 | 18.44 |
| 2023 | 310 | 32.9% | 4.5% | 0.239 | 241 | 16.07 |
| 2022 | 478 | 24.5% | 6.7% | 0.289 | 284 | 11.36 |
| 2021 | 635 | 25.8% | 7.4% | 0.355 | 273 | 8.27 |
| 2020 | 134 | 27.6% | 8.2% | 0.324 | 39 | 4.88 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
90
96.8
FB Spin
57
2312
Extension
32
6.31
Results
xwOBA
58
0.313
Barrel %
58
7.5
Hard-Hit %
54
38.8
K %
63
24.2
BB %
96
4.2
Chase %
84
33.3
Whiff %
70
25.4
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
129
≈ 99th pctl
Stuff+
109
if they swing
Command+
115
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
123
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
3.6%
15 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.026
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.016 better than avg · 132 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.012
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.018 better than avg · 22 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 421 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| FF | CH | SI | SL | CU | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 41% | 25% | 16% | 15% | 3% |
| MPH | 96.8 | 86.9 | 96.8 | 89.5 | 80.2 |
| LHP Avg | 93.2 | 84.6 | 93.0 | 84.7 | 79.0 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFCHSISLCU
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. LHP.