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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #27 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward · #27
V⁻ -21VORP 28V⁺ 50
Taylor Ward

Taylor Ward

OF·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
322
H
67
HR
3
AVG
.263
xwOBA
.361
PPG
2.27
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj97418.247.344.429.181.34522.9%12.2%10.6%1542202.27—
202670322.263
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
70
.361
xBA
56
.260
xSLG
.413
.361
.098
.361
20.2%
19.3%
0.9%
3
2
159
2.27
—
2025162664.228.319.474.246.33426.4%11.3%15.1%3643812.35—
2024161665.245.326.424.179.34724.5%9.5%15.0%2563121.94—
2023103411.251.338.419.168.34019.5%9.5%10.0%1442482.41—
2022148565.280.363.472.192.36421.2%10.6%10.6%2353502.36—
202167237.250.333.438.188.34223.2%8.4%14.8%811462.18—
202033102.277.333.383.106.30927.5%7.8%19.7%02401.21—
20191848.190.292.333.143.27147.9%12.5%35.4%1010.06—
201840147.178.245.333.155.27730.6%6.1%24.5%62431.08—
25
.380
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
50
89.7
Median EV
26
90.5
90th % EV
24
102.8
Barrel %
13
4.7
Hard-Hit %
47
42.2
Sweet-Spot %
67
38.0
Bat Speed
Avg
5
65.9
Median
15
68.5
90th %
6
71.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
99
12.5
Whiff %
81
16.0
K %
54
20.2
BB %
98
19.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
120
≈ 98th pctl
Chase cost
-2.7r
32 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-4.6r
94 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
32.7%
425 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.71
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
13413255+0%6542-46%13-42%24-36%28-37%24+6%183+29%7-25%32-44%36-35%31-20%20+27%11+0%6+11%9+33%12-8%13-23%22+17%643+0%10+0%6221CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 425