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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Taylor Ward

Taylor Ward

OF·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
411
H
90
HR
14
AVG
.251
xwOBA
.340
PPG
2.41
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202667303.260.405.364.104.35420.8%18.8%2.0%321492.22—
2025162664.228
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

411 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
55
.340
xBA
35
.248
.319
.474
.246
.334
26.4%
11.3%
15.1%
36
4
381
2.35
—
2024161665.245.326.424.179.34724.5%9.5%15.0%2563121.94—
2023103411.251.338.419.168.34019.5%9.5%10.0%1442482.41—
2022148565.280.363.472.192.36421.2%10.6%10.6%2353502.36—
202167237.250.333.438.188.34223.2%8.4%14.8%811462.18—
202033102.277.333.383.106.30927.5%7.8%19.7%02401.21—
20191848.190.292.333.143.27147.9%12.5%35.4%1010.06—
201840147.178.245.333.155.27730.6%6.1%24.5%62431.08—
xSLG
42
.432
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
66
90.5
Median EV
72
93.7
90th % EV
23
103.9
Barrel %
43
8.2
Hard-Hit %
62
43.6
Sweet-Spot %
39
34.8
Bat Speed
Avg
17
68.0
Median
16
68.9
90th %
12
73.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
81
23.2
Whiff %
73
18.2
K %
57
19.5
BB %
53
9.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
107
≈ 77th pctl
Chase cost
-24.8r
234 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.0r
239 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.3%
1,667 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.26
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
2433+0%62+20%10+0%16+15%26+0%34+33%24+47%15+0%8+33%15+3%35-35%54-27%63-12%52+47%36+0%9+27%26-9%32-24%66-27%63-26%47+39%36+10%10+12%17+31%26+4%45+3%35+0%25+27%113+18%11+0%16+0%10+0%742CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000