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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Taylor Ward

Taylor Ward

OF·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
665
H
144
HR
25
AVG
.245
xwOBA
.347
PPG
1.94
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202670322.263.413.361.098.36120.2%19.3%0.9%321592.27—
2025162664.228
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
71
.347
xBA
45
.247
xSLG
.319
.474
.246
.334
26.4%
11.3%
15.1%
36
4
381
2.35
—
2024161665.245.326.424.179.34724.5%9.5%15.0%2563121.94—
2023103411.251.338.419.168.34019.5%9.5%10.0%1442482.41—
2022148565.280.363.472.192.36421.2%10.6%10.6%2353502.36—
202167237.250.333.438.188.34223.2%8.4%14.8%811462.18—
202033102.277.333.383.106.30927.5%7.8%19.7%02401.21—
20191848.190.292.333.143.27147.9%12.5%35.4%1010.06—
201840147.178.245.333.155.27730.6%6.1%24.5%62431.08—
78
.475
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
70
90.9
Median EV
60
93.1
90th % EV
39
104.2
Barrel %
83
13.0
Hard-Hit %
52
42.3
Sweet-Spot %
98
43.5
Bat Speed
Avg
17
68.0
Median
19
69.3
90th %
16
74.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
94
20.9
Whiff %
39
23.6
K %
29
24.5
BB %
61
9.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
116
≈ 95th pctl
Chase cost
-31.8r
335 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-21.1r
394 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.4%
2,641 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.01
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
31314+0%61+29%7+14%7+13%8+11%19+24%17+0%133+56%18+0%38-25%52-29%69-20%44+5%20+10%10+39%23+15%48-20%60-21%76-19%54+27%26+0%8+8%26+36%50+21%53+2%44+26%27+13%85+27%11+9%22+0%10+13%1632CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000