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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Taylor Ward

Taylor Ward

OF·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
664
H
132
HR
36
AVG
.228
xwOBA
.334
PPG
2.35
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202667303.260.405.364.104.35420.8%18.8%2.0%321492.22—
2025162664.228
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
50
.334
xBA
10
.230
xSLG
.319
.474
.246
.334
26.4%
11.3%
15.1%
36
4
381
2.35
—
2024161665.245.326.424.179.34724.5%9.5%15.0%2563121.94—
2023103411.251.338.419.168.34019.5%9.5%10.0%1442482.41—
2022148565.280.363.472.192.36421.2%10.6%10.6%2353502.36—
202167237.250.333.438.188.34223.2%8.4%14.8%811462.18—
202033102.277.333.383.106.30927.5%7.8%19.7%02401.21—
20191848.190.292.333.143.27147.9%12.5%35.4%1010.06—
201840147.178.245.333.155.27730.6%6.1%24.5%62431.08—
54
.450
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
50
90.1
Median EV
43
92.9
90th % EV
40
105.1
Barrel %
79
13.7
Hard-Hit %
38
42.7
Sweet-Spot %
63
37.1
Bat Speed
Avg
13
67.6
Median
13
69.2
90th %
12
73.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
92
20.6
Whiff %
55
21.7
K %
14
26.4
BB %
77
11.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
100
≈ 51th pctl
Chase cost
-38.5r
346 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-33.0r
567 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
37.5%
2,847 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.51
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3343315+25%8+20%30-10%21+14%21+7%143+50%12-30%33-30%53-33%63-40%30+34%32+0%8+32%19-17%53-37%72-47%73-35%55+21%28+0%15+36%25+22%46-11%53-6%47+0%24+0%12+0%6+8%12+13%16+5%19+0%8351CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000