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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernández

OF·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
652
H
160
HR
33
AVG
.272
xwOBA
.350
PPG
2.29
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202651204.276.351.436.160.34127.0%9.3%17.7%721082.12—
2025154537.249
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
75
.350
xBA
26
.239
xSLG
.288
.459
.210
.325
24.6%
4.7%
19.9%
25
5
332
2.16
—
2024174652.272.340.501.229.35028.8%8.1%20.7%33133992.29—
2023165680.257.308.434.177.33631.0%5.6%25.4%2672861.73—
2022141536.266.315.490.224.35728.4%6.3%22.1%2573062.17—
2021151596.296.347.523.227.36724.8%6.0%18.8%32124192.77—
202053207.289.341.579.290.40230.4%6.8%23.6%1661372.58—
2019128464.230.307.472.242.31533.0%9.7%23.3%2662241.75—
2018141524.239.303.468.229.34331.1%7.8%23.3%2262501.77—
20172696.258.305.596.338.33637.5%6.3%31.2%80592.27—
83
.484
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
68
90.6
Median EV
69
93.7
90th % EV
77
107.1
Barrel %
92
14.9
Hard-Hit %
72
46.8
Sweet-Spot %
48
35.6
Bat Speed
Avg
68
71.4
Median
65
72.7
90th %
68
77.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
42
28.8
Whiff %
5
31.5
K %
4
28.8
BB %
46
8.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 61th pctl
Chase cost
-48.5r
461 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.0r
277 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.0%
2,638 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.44
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
121524+30%10+58%12+14%21+38%21+25%16+43%75+40%15+0%27-23%62-22%50-15%27+65%26+38%8+37%27+12%52-31%67-16%67-21%43+43%305+30%30+42%33+20%60-9%34+25%24+20%155+6%18+14%22+7%14+7%15+0%6+0%61CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000