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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernández

OF·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
537
H
125
HR
25
AVG
.249
xwOBA
.325
PPG
2.16
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202651204.276.351.436.160.34127.0%9.3%17.7%721082.12—
2025154537.249
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
38
.325
xBA
39
.247
xSLG
.288
.459
.210
.325
24.6%
4.7%
19.9%
25
5
332
2.16
—
2024174652.272.340.501.229.35028.8%8.1%20.7%33133992.29—
2023165680.257.308.434.177.33631.0%5.6%25.4%2672861.73—
2022141536.266.315.490.224.35728.4%6.3%22.1%2573062.17—
2021151596.296.347.523.227.36724.8%6.0%18.8%32124192.77—
202053207.289.341.579.290.40230.4%6.8%23.6%1661372.58—
2019128464.230.307.472.242.31533.0%9.7%23.3%2662241.75—
2018141524.239.303.468.229.34331.1%7.8%23.3%2262501.77—
20172696.258.305.596.338.33637.5%6.3%31.2%80592.27—
65
.464
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
53
90.2
Median EV
36
92.5
90th % EV
58
106.2
Barrel %
67
11.7
Hard-Hit %
58
46.0
Sweet-Spot %
42
35.6
Bat Speed
Avg
55
71.0
Median
58
72.5
90th %
64
77.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
34
29.9
Whiff %
9
29.4
K %
26
24.6
BB %
5
4.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 59th pctl
Chase cost
-37.4r
361 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-15.2r
320 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.3%
2,155 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.44
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
15+33%6+0%6441+33%6+35%17-5%21+42%31+47%19+56%93+40%15+3%30-24%59-27%55-13%54+38%16+23%13+41%34+6%50-37%73-38%82-15%48+45%22+17%12+29%17+32%47+8%38+8%37-7%14+58%125+18%11+13%15+13%8+14%7+0%851CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000