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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #48 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Teoscar Hernández
Teoscar Hernández · #48
V⁻ -14VORP 20V⁺ 32
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernández

OF·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
204
H
50
HR
7
AVG
.276
xwOBA
.341
PPG
2.12
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj73315.260.318.461.201.34326.1%7.1%18.9%1431652.26—
202651204.276
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

204 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
56
.341
xBA
53
.257
.351
.436
.160
.341
27.0%
9.3%
17.7%
7
2
108
2.12
—
2025154537.249.288.459.210.32524.6%4.7%19.9%2553322.16—
2024174652.272.340.501.229.35028.8%8.1%20.7%33133992.29—
2023165680.257.308.434.177.33631.0%5.6%25.4%2672861.73—
2022141536.266.315.490.224.35728.4%6.3%22.1%2573062.17—
2021151596.296.347.523.227.36724.8%6.0%18.8%32124192.77—
202053207.289.341.579.290.40230.4%6.8%23.6%1661372.58—
2019128464.230.307.472.242.31533.0%9.7%23.3%2662241.75—
2018141524.239.303.468.229.34331.1%7.8%23.3%2262501.77—
20172696.258.305.596.338.33637.5%6.3%31.2%80592.27—
xSLG
57
.435
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
52
89.8
Median EV
27
90.6
90th % EV
40
104.2
Barrel %
62
10.9
Hard-Hit %
64
45.3
Sweet-Spot %
48
35.9
Bat Speed
Avg
53
70.5
Median
48
71.8
90th %
44
76.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
67
26.1
Whiff %
24
26.5
K %
19
27.0
BB %
49
9.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
87
≈ 9th pctl
Chase cost
-8.2r
72 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.0r
45 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.6%
331 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.09
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
22213+33%6+14%7+45%11+64%114+33%9+0%11-25%12-6%18-17%18+57%71+22%18+5%19-47%15-20%25-18%11+30%102+23%13+44%16+13%15+0%9+18%11521343221CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 331