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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 2B peers

Rank #24 of 25

Each bar is one 2B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100Thairo Estrada
Thairo Estrada · #24
V⁻ —VORP -1V⁺ —
Thairo Estrada

Thairo Estrada

2B·FA
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj1045.243.291.367.124.29419.4%4.6%14.8%11202.03—
202540165.253.290.370.117.26415.8%3.6%12.2%32771.93—
2024101382.216.247.342
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

No MLB Statcast hitting rows for 2026.

.126
.265
19.9%
2.6%
17.3%
9
2
160
1.58
—
2023123530.271.316.416.145.29622.6%4.2%18.4%14232592.11—
2022146543.259.324.398.139.30216.4%6.1%10.3%14243322.27—
202152132.273.333.479.206.31917.4%6.8%10.6%721082.08—
20202452.167.231.229.062.24936.5%1.9%34.6%11110.46—
20192969.250.294.438.188.30121.7%4.3%17.4%33411.41—
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
48
≈ 1th pctl
Chase cost
-0.3r
4 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.4r
3 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.8%
16 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-4.68
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
11111121121CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 16