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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #192 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Tim Tawa
Tim Tawa · #60
V⁻ —VORP -5V⁺ —
Tim Tawa

Tim Tawa

1B / 2B / OF·ARI
Compare
Compare
PA
70
H
10
HR
1
AVG
.169
xwOBA
.259
PPG
0.81
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj1668.224.292.364.140.29524.5%8.5%16.1%21271.70—
20262670.169
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

70 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
1
.259
xBA
3
.198
.269
.254
.085
.259
22.9%
11.4%
11.5%
1
0
21
0.81
—
202569225.201.277.347.146.29028.4%8.9%19.5%78811.17—
xSLG
0
.260
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
18
86.7
Median EV
26
90.3
90th % EV
33
103.5
Barrel %
3
2.2
Hard-Hit %
13
32.6
Sweet-Spot %
0
26.1
Bat Speed
Avg
66
71.9
Median
73
73.9
90th %
57
77.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
38
31.5
Whiff %
44
22.3
K %
35
22.9
BB %
69
11.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
108
≈ 80th pctl
Chase cost
-3.5r
43 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.3r
29 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.8%
222 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.18
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
141455+43%7+50%61+43%7-27%11-55%11-18%11+22%9+22%9+50%8+29%14-24%17-27%11-31%1332+17%6+43%7+17%6+40%10+0%6324112CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 222