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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #85 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200TJ Friedl
TJ Friedl · #60
V⁻ -8VORP 3V⁺ 33
TJ Friedl

TJ Friedl

OF·CIN
Compare
Compare
PA
178
H
28
HR
2
AVG
.179
xwOBA
.254
PPG
0.93
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj61263.234.323.358.124.31118.1%9.9%8.2%661252.04—
202646178.179
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

178 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.254
xBA
1
.189
.260
.256
.077
.254
23.6%
7.3%
16.3%
2
5
43
0.93
—
2025157687.260.366.377.117.30416.7%11.8%4.9%14123532.25—
202485342.225.313.379.154.29715.2%7.6%7.6%1391982.33—
2023142556.279.354.467.188.28816.2%8.5%7.7%18273702.61—
202276258.240.321.436.196.28315.5%7.8%7.7%871652.17—
20211436.290.371.419.129.2965.6%11.1%-5.5%10261.86—
xSLG
0
.256
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
1
83.6
Median EV
1
85.7
90th % EV
6
99.7
Barrel %
4
2.5
Hard-Hit %
7
28.6
Sweet-Spot %
6
28.6
Bat Speed
Avg
15
67.4
Median
29
70.2
90th %
26
74.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
60
27.2
Whiff %
31
25.0
K %
33
23.6
BB %
23
7.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 60th pctl
Chase cost
-6.6r
66 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.1r
51 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
39.6%
356 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.42
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
54232+20%10+42%12-5%21+6%16+0%62+60%10+47%17-44%25-52%21+0%20+9%112+46%13-14%21-25%16-6%16+33%12+50%83+14%7+10%10+0%9+14%7+50%81111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 356