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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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TJ Friedl

TJ Friedl

OF·CIN
Compare
Compare
PA
556
H
136
HR
18
AVG
.279
xwOBA
.288
PPG
2.61
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202646178.179.260.256.077.25423.6%7.3%16.3%25430.93—
2025157687.260
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
2
.288
xBA
16
.234
xSLG
.366
.377
.117
.304
16.7%
11.8%
4.9%
14
12
353
2.25
—
202485342.225.313.379.154.29715.2%7.6%7.6%1391982.33—
2023142556.279.354.467.188.28816.2%8.5%7.7%18273702.61—
202276258.240.321.436.196.28315.5%7.8%7.7%871652.17—
20211436.290.371.419.129.2965.6%11.1%-5.5%10261.86—
0
.320
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
0
82.7
Median EV
0
86.9
90th % EV
4
100.7
Barrel %
4
3.2
Hard-Hit %
6
27.6
Sweet-Spot %
24
33.5
Bat Speed
Avg
8
66.3
Median
9
67.7
90th %
9
73.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
75
24.0
Whiff %
84
16.6
K %
78
16.2
BB %
46
8.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 69th pctl
Chase cost
-33.2r
315 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.2r
389 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.6%
2,183 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.36
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
4+0%6+9%11+7%15+0%7+0%63+40%15+25%28+13%52+11%55+21%38+26%19+0%8+50%28-5%56-30%91-34%85-15%46+26%19+0%6+29%21-30%40-33%57-20%40-28%29+45%224+21%14+21%19-8%13+5%22+50%10+11%9224212CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000