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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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TJ Friedl

TJ Friedl

OF·CIN
Compare
Compare
PA
342
H
67
HR
13
AVG
.225
xwOBA
.297
PPG
2.33
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202646178.179.260.256.077.25423.6%7.3%16.3%25430.93—
2025157687.260
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

342 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
6
.297
xBA
11
.231
.366
.377
.117
.304
16.7%
11.8%
4.9%
14
12
353
2.25
—
202485342.225.313.379.154.29715.2%7.6%7.6%1391982.33—
2023142556.279.354.467.188.28816.2%8.5%7.7%18273702.61—
202276258.240.321.436.196.28315.5%7.8%7.7%871652.17—
20211436.290.371.419.129.2965.6%11.1%-5.5%10261.86—
xSLG
2
.336
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
2
83.6
Median EV
4
88.3
90th % EV
10
101.3
Barrel %
6
3.2
Hard-Hit %
9
31.5
Sweet-Spot %
12
31.9
Bat Speed
Avg
22
68.3
Median
23
70.0
90th %
19
74.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
77
23.7
Whiff %
83
16.2
K %
85
15.2
BB %
35
7.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
118
≈ 96th pctl
Chase cost
-15.4r
185 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.7r
215 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.2%
1,282 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.96
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
515+0%10+0%13+0%74+8%12+29%24+28%40+25%32+6%33+0%245+31%32-8%71-28%81-25%79-6%54+16%31+0%7+38%26-13%46-36%69-35%46-11%47+37%19+0%8+11%9+50%8+4%25+21%19+46%13+14%73422121CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000