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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. RP peers

Rank #291 of 505

Each bar is one RP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100Tobias Myers
Tobias Myers · #60
V⁻ —VORP -50V⁺ —
Tobias Myers

Tobias Myers

SP / RP·NYM
Compare
Compare
BF
134
K %
19.4%
BB %
5.2%
xwOBA
.294
PTS
66
PPG
3.30
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj26339.022004.164.1819.9%7.0%13.0%————642.47
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

134 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
23
91.7
FB Spin
33
2209
2026
20
2
33.3
0
1
1
3
4.05
4.51
19.4%
5.2%
14.2%
.294
.242
68.8%
35.6%
66
3.30
202523651.312013.684.0017.3%6.8%10.5%.324.31177.9%37.0%743.22
20242926145.096003.043.8122.2%6.3%15.9%.318.28280.7%37.7%31911.00
Extension
68
6.65
Results
xwOBA
80
.294
Barrel %
72
6.9
Hard-Hit %
25
43.6
K %
34
19.4
BB %
93
5.2
Chase %
20
27.8
Whiff %
9
17.0
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
125
≈ 99th pctl
Stuff+
91
if they swing
Command+
118
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
108
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
10.8%
21 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.014
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.029 better than avg · 47 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.006
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.024 better than avg · 18 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 195 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF
43.8%92.62232+20.0+4.46.7112.8%63.5%27.0%25.9%20.0%0.340
Split-FingerFS
20.7%80.5

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE65°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFFSSLFCCU
Usage44%21%21%9%6%
MPH92.680.581.986.179.9
RHP Avg95.086.786.789.880.2
1442
+8.1
+8.2
6.75
25.0%
48.6%
20.0%
27.8%
26.7%
0.064
SliderSL
20.7%81.92162-0.3-5.56.5211.1%42.9%14.3%25.0%14.3%0.233
CutterFC
8.9%86.12130+12.5-6.06.6630.0%66.7%26.7%20.0%—0.408
CurveballCU
5.9%79.92102-0.8-4.76.500.0%40.0%20.0%0.0%0.0%0.055

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 17″FC · 20″FS · 20″SL · 22″CU · 22″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 30″FC · 45″FS · 61″SL · 56″CU · 62″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.37′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFFSSLFCCU-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFFSSLFCCU-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFFSSLFCCU

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.