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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

-500+50+100+150+200
Tommy Pham

Tommy Pham

OF·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
14
H
0
HR
0
AVG
.000
xwOBA
.137
PPG
-0.71
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj14.244.281.307.063.26524.1%4.7%19.4%0010.85—
2026714.000
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

14 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.137
xBA
0
.099
.071
.000
.000
.137
50.0%
7.1%
42.9%
0
0
-5
-0.71
—
2025118450.244.333.369.125.32220.9%11.1%9.8%1062071.75—
2024122479.247.305.367.120.32222.1%7.3%14.8%981951.60—
2023145481.256.333.446.190.36022.0%9.8%12.2%16233052.10—
2022150624.236.313.372.136.31526.8%9.0%17.8%1782741.83—
2021162562.229.342.382.153.35222.8%13.9%8.9%15142911.80—
202039125.211.312.312.101.35321.6%12.0%9.6%39691.77—
2019156655.273.369.449.176.35718.8%12.4%6.4%21264232.71—
2018143571.275.368.463.188.37824.5%11.7%12.8%21163542.48—
2017131531.306.413.519.213.37722.0%13.4%8.6%23243872.95—
xSLG
0
.117
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
82
91.7
Median EV
84
95.7
90th % EV
52
105.3
Barrel %
0
0.0
Hard-Hit %
14
33.3
Sweet-Spot %
0
16.7
Bat Speed
Avg
15
67.6
Median
32
70.4
90th %
9
72.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
42
31.0
Whiff %
11
29.6
K %
0
50.0
BB %
23
7.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
120
≈ 97th pctl
Chase cost
-0.2r
3 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.2r
5 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
56.5%
23 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.71
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
21212113321121CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 23