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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Tommy Pham

Tommy Pham

OF·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
450
H
96
HR
10
AVG
.244
xwOBA
.322
PPG
1.75
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2026714.000.071.000.000.13750.0%7.1%42.9%00-5-0.71—
2025118450.244
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

450 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
31
.322
xBA
34
.243
.333
.369
.125
.322
20.9%
11.1%
9.8%
10
6
207
1.75
—
2024122479.247.305.367.120.32222.1%7.3%14.8%981951.60—
2023145481.256.333.446.190.36022.0%9.8%12.2%16233052.10—
2022150624.236.313.372.136.31526.8%9.0%17.8%1782741.83—
2021162562.229.342.382.153.35222.8%13.9%8.9%15142911.80—
202039125.211.312.312.101.35321.6%12.0%9.6%39691.77—
2019156655.273.369.449.176.35718.8%12.4%6.4%21264232.71—
2018143571.275.368.463.188.37824.5%11.7%12.8%21163542.48—
2017131531.306.413.519.213.37722.0%13.4%8.6%23243872.95—
xSLG
18
.392
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
80
91.6
Median EV
69
93.9
90th % EV
74
107.3
Barrel %
20
6.6
Hard-Hit %
70
47.2
Sweet-Spot %
15
33.0
Bat Speed
Avg
67
71.6
Median
64
72.8
90th %
60
77.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
95
19.9
Whiff %
64
20.6
K %
47
20.9
BB %
76
11.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
111
≈ 86th pctl
Chase cost
-17.7r
191 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-19.2r
330 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.7%
1,729 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.13
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
255+0%84214+0%15+0%28+22%18+23%13+11%92+24%25-17%41-33%81-22%63-9%33+4%28+18%11+20%25-24%38-30%76-29%85-33%55+35%23+11%9+18%11+24%41+9%45-19%37+4%25+0%112+11%9+0%9+20%105432CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000