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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #52 of 66

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Travis d'Arnaud
Travis d'Arnaud · #52
V⁻ —VORP -288V⁺ —
Travis d'Arnaud

Travis d'Arnaud

C·LAA
Compare
Compare
PA
40
H
7
HR
1
AVG
.200
xwOBA
.336
PPG
1.31
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj29114.221.283.371.150.29326.7%6.8%20.0%40421.43—
20261340.200
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

40 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
50
.336
xBA
20
.231
.300
.314
.114
.336
17.5%
7.5%
10.0%
1
0
17
1.31
—
202569231.197.257.343.146.27132.0%5.6%26.4%60520.75—
202499341.238.306.436.198.32726.1%7.0%19.1%1511681.70—
202380292.225.289.397.172.32622.9%7.2%15.7%1101401.75—
2022119426.268.319.472.204.31621.1%4.5%16.6%1802862.40—
202182230.219.284.386.167.31423.0%7.4%15.6%701171.43—
202056184.321.388.533.212.38627.2%8.7%18.5%911392.48—
2019110393.249.315.431.182.33521.6%8.1%13.5%1602232.03—
2018716.200.250.400.200.45131.3%6.3%25.0%10142.00—
2017117376.244.295.443.199.30815.7%6.1%9.6%1602231.91—
xSLG
57
.437
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
26
87.7
Median EV
3
86.2
90th % EV
6
99.3
Barrel %
84
14.3
Hard-Hit %
14
32.1
Sweet-Spot %
80
39.3
Bat Speed
Avg
34
69.0
Median
39
71.1
90th %
31
74.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
55
28.4
Whiff %
34
24.6
K %
68
17.5
BB %
28
7.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
106
≈ 73th pctl
Chase cost
-0.8r
14 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.6r
9 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
57.4%
61 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.28
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
212113135-29%71124-43%7221132211111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 61