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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Travis d'Arnaud

Travis d'Arnaud

C·LAA
Compare
Compare
PA
341
H
73
HR
15
AVG
.238
xwOBA
.327
PPG
1.70
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20261340.200.300.314.114.33617.5%7.5%10.0%10171.31—
202569231.197
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

341 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
40
.327
xBA
18
.235
.257
.343
.146
.271
32.0%
5.6%
26.4%
6
0
52
0.75
—
202499341.238.306.436.198.32726.1%7.0%19.1%1511681.70—
202380292.225.289.397.172.32622.9%7.2%15.7%1101401.75—
2022119426.268.319.472.204.31621.1%4.5%16.6%1802862.40—
202182230.219.284.386.167.31423.0%7.4%15.6%701171.43—
202056184.321.388.533.212.38627.2%8.7%18.5%911392.48—
2019110393.249.315.431.182.33521.6%8.1%13.5%1602232.03—
2018716.200.250.400.200.45131.3%6.3%25.0%10142.00—
2017117376.244.295.443.199.30815.7%6.1%9.6%1602231.91—
xSLG
56
.447
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
57
89.9
Median EV
55
92.7
90th % EV
37
104.1
Barrel %
61
10.4
Hard-Hit %
45
41.0
Sweet-Spot %
17
32.9
Bat Speed
Avg
48
70.0
Median
33
70.7
90th %
56
76.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
51
27.3
Whiff %
8
29.6
K %
17
26.1
BB %
27
7.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
109
≈ 82th pctl
Chase cost
-21.6r
230 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-8.7r
144 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.7%
1,353 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.24
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
233+67%6+25%12+14%72+29%7+25%20+22%18+32%25+62%26+39%18+17%6+30%20-10%30-10%51-12%51+0%53+58%19+38%8+37%27-13%55-40%60-21%82-25%40+27%26+33%15+47%17+25%44+11%35+22%36+0%29+14%75+11%9+11%9+0%12+0%9+0%834CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000